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A Practical History of Financial Markets is available as a two-day course and in distance-learning format. Students who enrol for the two-day sessions will receive a copy of the distance learning materials. These materials have been prepared in conjunction with the Edinburgh Business School (EBS) a world leader in the field. There are currently 9,000 students enrolled for the EBS MBA, the vast majority of whom are studying via the distance learning option. The price for the distance learning option for A Practical History of Financial Markets is £800.

The two-day session occurs three times a year.

The schedule for the remainder of 2007 is as follows-

    November 15th - 17th London (three day course)

The schedule for 2008 is as follows-

    May 8th - 9th Edinburgh

    October 16th - 17th London

    November 6th - 7th Singapore.

Each session will usually include at least one guest lecture. The session costs £1,500. The July 2005 schedule provides a guide to the normal format for a teaching session-

A Practical History of Financial Markets

July 14th-16th 2005

Thursday July 14th

07.45-08.00   Coffee/Tea is served

08.00-08.10   Introduction to the course by Russell Napier

 

Module I - Stock Market Value - Andrew Smithers & Stephen Wright

Session I

08.10-09.45

(1) Introduction

(2) Value

(3) Long-term stock returns and two remarkable features

09.45-10.15   Break-out session I (Coffee/Tea)

10.15-10.30   Review of break-out session

Session II

10.30-12.15

(4) Hindsight value and the value of hindsight

(5) Can markets be valued? The five key tests

12.15-13.15   Break-out session II (Lunch)

13.15-13.30   Review of break-out session

Session III

13.30-15.00

Applying the tests

15.00-15.30   Break-out session III (Coffee/Tea)

15.30-16.00   Review of break-out session III
 

Module II- History of Institutional Investment- Barry Riley

16.15- 17.45  Fund Management in the second half of the twentieth century and beyond

17.45-18.00   Coffee/Tea

18.00-18.30   Questions from the floor

18.30-19.15   Break-out session

19.15-20.00    Review of break-out session

Friday July 15th

08.00-08.15   Coffee/Tea is served

 

Module III- The Monetary Theory of Asset Prices- Gordon Pepper and Michael Oliver

Session I

08.15-09.40

(1) Introduction

(2) Types of traders in securities

(3) Persistent liquidity trades

(4) Extrapolative expectations

09.40-10.00   Break-out session I and review (Coffee/Tea)

Session II

10.00-10.30

(5) Discounting Liquidity Transactions

(6) Cyclical changes associated with business cycles (3.5)

(7) Shifts in the savings demand for money (3.6)

10.30-11.45   Break-out session II and review (Coffee/Tea)

Session III

11.45-12.30

(8) Financial bubbles

(9) Debt-deflation

(10) Debt-deflation, practical experience

12.30-13.45   Lunch

Session IV

13.45-14.45

(11) Control of printing press money

(12) Control of fountain-pen money and the ‘counterparts’ of broad money

(13) Technical analysis and crowds

(14) The intuitive approach to asset prices

(15) Forms of analysis

Session V

14.45-15.30

(16) The US equity market 1960-2002

(17) Two forecasts

15.30-16.00   Break-out session III and review (Coffee/Tea)

Session VI

16.00-17.00

(18) Monitoring current data for the monetary aggregates

(19) Monitoring data for the supply of money

(20) Monitoring how money is being spent

17.00-18.00   Break out session IV and review (Coffee/Tea)
 
Saturday July 16th

07.45-08.00   Coffee/Tea is served

 

Module II - Investing in Periods of Inflation, Disinflation and Deflation - Peter Warburton

Session I

08.00-09.00

(1) Introduction: Importance of inflation to investment returns

(2) Characterisations of the inflationary process

(3) Stages of the inflationary process

09.00-09.40   Break-out session I and review (Coffee/Tea)

(4) The Great German Inflation 1918-1923

Session II

09.40-10.30

(4) How inflation affected investment returns in the twentieth century

10.30-11.20   Break-out session II and review (Coffee/Tea)

(5) How inflationary conditions influenced the performance of the US equity investments during the Great Crash, 1929-1932

Session III

11.20-12.00

(6) Measurement of Inflation and investment returns

(7) The contemporary inflation/deflation debate

12.00-13.00   Lunch

 

Module IV- Behavioural Finance- Herman Brodie

Session I

13.00-15.00

(1) Introduction

(2) Heuristics & Biases

(3) Prospect Theory

(4) Cognitive Dissonance

(5) Sentiment

15.00-16.00   Break-out session I

(6) Analysis of an investor (Coffee/Tea)

Session II

16.00-17.00

(7) Discounting

(8) Adaptation

          17.00-18.00   Break-out session II

(9) Pension Savings Question (Coffee/Tea)

18.00-18.30 Conclusion & Q & A

 

Concluding Remarks - Russell Napier

 

18.30-19.15

A Practical History of Financial Markets - Its usefulness or otherwise, 1991-2001


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